Igor OKUNEV, ,
The focus of this study is aimed at testing the methodology of spatial statistical (econometric) analysis to identify the geographical factor in the distribution of human potential in the world. The political spatial configuration of the modern world is designed in such a way as to be as independent as possible from physical and geographical factors. State borders are barriers that filter the spread of undesirable phenomena and processes for countries. On the contrary, geopolitical blocs unite different countries of the same region in order to neutralize geographical differences between them. High-speed roads rush deep into the continents in order to mitigate the risks of the intra-continental situation of countries, etc. The physical and geographical factor was often decisive at earlier stages of human development, so the rational strategy of people was to create institutions that would mitigate the impact of nature on their development. Today's world is thus characterized by the fact that the physical and geographical factor has transformed from a determinant into a conditioning one. It is stopped by governments where it is particularly dangerous, and used where it benefits. Its influence can be assessed as fundamental, but concomitant, complementary to other factors of human development. In the course of the study, based on a database of 110 parameters of human development and two neighborhood matrices (physical-geographical and geopolitical) using spatial econometrics methods (spatial autocorrelation, geographically weighted regression, spatial cluster analysis) and GIS modeling, it is revealed in which areas the spatial effect is more important. The project resulted in a geostatistical atlas of the modern world, reflecting clusters of spatial autocorrelation of various phenomena and countries breaking out of their neighbourhood.
Mots clés : political geography|spatial analysis|human development
A103214IO